To reinforce some of the lessons offered in the 2024 Investment Outlook Seminar, we’ve chosen 10 multiple-choice questions based on the presentation by company president, Kyle Tetting. The answers are at the bottom of the page and include links to more information.
View the 2024 Investment Outlook Seminar.
1.
Part of Kyle’s confidence in the U.S. economy is the relative strength of consumers. About how much of the national gross domestic product is accounted for by consumer spending?
(Choose one.)
- Nearly one-quarter
- About half
- Around two-thirds
- More than three-quarters
(See answers below.)
2.
When Kyle talked about real wage growth emerging, what does the word “real” mean?
(Choose one.)
- Tax-adjusted
- Verified by the IRS
- Inflation-adjusted
- Relative to the federal minimum wage
(See answers below.)
3.
Which two of the following are the mandates of the Federal Reserve?
(Choose two.)
- Fiscal responsibility
- Price stability
- Budget control
- Full employment
(See answers below.)
4.
How does Kyle see the economy prospering from a rising tide of workers claiming Social Security retirement benefits?
(Choose one.)
- More retirees mean more job opportunities for younger workers.
- More retirements mean companies can trim payrolls and be more profitable.
- Retiree spending boosts the economy.
- Greater use helps sustain Social Security’s trust fund.
(See answers below.)
5.
What is a soft landing?
(Choose one.)
- Bringing inflation down without going into recession
- Bringing deficits down without raising taxes
- Bringing interest rates down without raising unemployment
- Bringing deficits down without raising interest rates
(See answer below.)
6.
Kyle explained that inflation can be measured in several ways. The key is to be consistent. Which measure of inflation did Kyle use?
(Choose one.)
- Consumer Price Index
- Producer Price Index
- Personal Consumption Expenditures index
- Personal Consumption Expenditures index, excluding food and energy
(See answer below.)
7.
Kyle identified megatrends that he said were the biggest driver of stock prices in the past two years. Which of the following are included in those trends?
(Choose one.)
- Corporate recoveries from the COVID-19 pandemic
- A surge in sheer numbers of investors from the baby boom
- Artificial intelligence, automation and robotics
- Increased investments from China and elsewhere
(See answer below.)
8.
Which of the following did Kyle point to as the biggest risk to stocks currently?
(Choose one.)
- Bonds
- Valuations
- Corporate tax rates
- Politics
(See answer below.)
9.
Kyle talked about Federal Reserve rate cuts starting to unwind the inverted yield curve. Which one of the following defines an inverted yield curve?
(Choose one.)
- When long-term interest rates are higher than short-term rates
- When the earnings yield is higher than the 10-year Treasury yield
- When the 10-year Treasury yield is higher than the earnings yield
- When short-term interest rates are higher than long-term rates
(See answer below.)
10.
Kyle showed the gap narrowing between the earnings yield on the S&P 500 and the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bill. Which one of the following describes the point he was making?
(Choose one.)
- Investors might as well rebalance more toward stocks.
- Investors are getting less of a premium for taking risk.
- The model 60/40 stock-bond mix is irreparably broken.
- Investors might as well rebalance more toward cash.
(See answer below.)
Answers
1.
c. Around two-thirds
Learn more
Components of GDP Explained, from The Balance
Economy keeps counting on consumers, by Joel Dresang
2.
c. Inflation-adjusted
Learn more
Real Income, Inflation, and the Real Wages Formula, from Investopedia
3.
b. Price stability
d. Full employment
Learn more
The Fed: What investors should know, a Money Talk Video with Dave Sandstrom
4.
c. Retiree spending boosts the economy.
Learn more
Retirement spending to the rescue? by Joel Dresang
5.
a. Bringing inflation down without going into recession
Learn more
No recession yet, the White House says, by Joel Dresang
The Fed: What investors should know, a Money Talk Video with Dave Sandstrom
6.
a. Consumer Price Index
Learn more
Consumer Price Index, from the Bureau of Labor Statistics
7.
c. Artificial intelligence, automation and robotics
Learn more
Innovations, long-run opportunities, by Kyle Tetting
8.
b. Valuations
Learn more
Stock valuations: Time to buy or sell? a Money Talk Video with Dave Sandstrom
9.
d. When short-term interest rates are higher than long-term rates
Learn more
The data behind the fear of yield curve inversions, from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
10.
b.Investors are getting less of a premium for taking risk.
Learn more
Investor risks of action/inaction, by Kyle Tetting
Focus on fundamentals to face volatility, a Money Talk Video with Steve Giles